Wine grape updates
Wine grape crops are coming in smaller than average with good quality.
The U.S. wine market remained under pressure in July as sales volumes declined across retail, wholesale, and Direct-to-Consumer (DtC) channels. Excess inventories and falling demand continue to weigh on the industry. Reports suggest major producers are reducing capacity, distributors are adjusting portfolios, and many wineries are prioritizing profitability, inventory management, customer retention, and production discipline over volume growth.
Wine grape crops across the West are developing early and appear to be smaller than average with generally good quality. Reports of disease pressures are minimal, though powdery mildew has impacted a number of growers in Southern Oregon. While harvest in Oregon and Washington is about a week or two early, parts of California are four to eight weeks ahead of schedule. An early harvest is not expected to have a material impact on the crop or markets. Demand for white varieties appears to be better than reds. While wildfire activity in Oregon and Washington is immense, it is located far enough from the primary growing regions that smoke taint risk remains relatively low in most areas. (Excessive smoke exposure to grapes can negatively impact flavor profile.) The Fire Insurance Protection – Smoke Index (FIPSI), a crop insurance program made available in the West in 2026, is already providing support to several growers experiencing a sufficient number of Smoke Events (the occurrence of heavy smoke density in a county during a 24-hour interval).
Profitability
June 10, 2026Wine: Slightly unprofitable - Neutral 12-month outlook
Wine grapes: Slightly unprofitable - Neutral 12-month outlook
Wine demand continues to soften and pressure the industry, particularly in the lower- to mid-range segments.
Weak demand and excess bulk wine inventories continue to pressure wine grape producers.
The U.S. is the fourth largest New World (non-European) producer globally, it is the largest consumer, importing a third of its domestic supply. Key foreign suppliers include Italy, Canada, France, Australia, Chile and New Zealand. The U.S. exports 8% of its production, with about 50% split between the United Kingdom and Canada.
Wine production, exports and imports

Source: Wine Institute. U.S. Census Bureau.
Tariff tracker - Tariff rates applied to U.S. trade partners are consistenly updated to reflect policy changes. The World Trade Organization (WTO) tracks duties and tariffs on wine. For your convenience, the following link will take you to tariff data for the United Kingdom. Wine is currently exempt from tariffs for Canada under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), but please refer to the U.S. Trade Representative website for up-to-date information. WTO also tracks rates for wine imports to the U.S. Please consult with a trade lawyer or professional for detailed and up-to-date insights on tariff rates and their application to wine.
For guidance on interpreting duty and tariff rates, please refer to our Tariff Guide.
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